What it does
A score with its evidence class attached
Ratios ranked against real peers
Every input is inspectable
Distress caps the score outright
Confidence tiers
This is the most important thing on the card. A Tier C 72 and a Tier A 72 are different claims about different evidence. The tier travels with the score everywhere the score goes: into the API, into MCP answers, into exports.Stability classes
A single number cannot order companies that survive by different mechanisms. An entrenched, cash-generative incumbent and a venture-funded startup are not two points on one axis, and treating them as one produces a ranking that is hard to defend in front of a customer. Every vendor is therefore assigned a stability class, derived from observable scale, operating history, cash generation and dependence on outside capital. Never from a name, a ticker, or an opinion.Runway and burn for private companies
For the majority of a portfolio that files nothing, the score models how long the company’s cash lasts. Burn is derived from headcount rather than guessed. Fully-loaded cost per employee is the operating figure that behaves most predictably across software companies, adjusted for stage and grossed up from personnel to total operating cost. Revenue is netted off at gross margin, using a conservative stage estimate where no figure is available. Capital is the last round plus a reserve, less what has been consumed since. The output is a range, along with two readings that often matter more than the midpoint: whether the company is self-sustaining (revenue covers burn, so no cliff applies), and its capital efficiency (revenue per dollar raised). Every assumption used is recorded on the scorecard. Most private rounds are reported with a size but no closing date. Crediting the vendor with a round closed yesterday flatters it, and charging a fixed number of months of burn penalises the companies with a large payroll. So an undated round is treated as half spent: observing a company at an unknown point in its funding cycle is observing it, on average, halfway through. These are bounded estimates, labelled as such. They separate a vendor with two years of cover from one with two quarters, which is the distinction that affects a buyer. They are not a guess at a bank balance.Funding and headcount without a data subscription
The model above needs a headcount and, ideally, a last round. Crunchbase and PitchBook supply both, for the customers who license them and for the vendors those providers happen to cover. Coverbase’s own enrichment also researches each vendor’s employee count, last round size, round type and founding year from public sources, and the score reads those directly. For a portfolio with no financial-data subscription behind it, that is the difference between a cash model that runs and one that never had a headcount to price. Two rules apply. Researched figures are cited as Web research rather than attributed to a provider Coverbase never called, and they never raise a vendor’s confidence tier, because a search result is not a filing however precise it looks. Where a licensed provider does answer, its figure wins and the researched one fills gaps only.What the score is built from
Five pillars. Which ones carry the score depends on the tier, because a tier with no filed statements has nothing to put in the financial core:How a score is computed
Each raw value is trimmed at its cohort's extremes
Values are percentile-ranked inside the peer cohort
Level is blended with direction
Events accumulate by severity and decay by age
Pillars aggregate, then the composite renormalizes
The result is smoothed month over month
Caps and floors apply last, unblended
The score maps to a risk band
Two rules that shape everything
A vendor is never penalized for something we could not compute
A vendor is never penalized for something we could not compute
But it is never rewarded for it either
But it is never rewarded for it either
Scores decay slowly upward and move fast downward
Scores decay slowly upward and move fast downward
Peer comparison
A ratio in isolation is not a judgement. 4x debt/EBITDA is unremarkable at a utility and alarming at a software company, so every Tier A ratio is scored as a percentile inside a cohort rather than against an absolute threshold. The cohort is real, and it is large. It’s built from the population of filers that reported the same concept in the same period: typically thousands of companies per ratio, not a hand-picked comparison set. Industry narrows it. Ranking a software vendor against every filer (banks, REITs, miners) produces a percentile that is arithmetically correct and analytically meaningless, so cohorts are scoped to the vendor’s own industry classification. When the cohort is too small, the card says so. The score falls back to a wider population and discloses that it did. A disclosed wide cohort is honest; an undisclosed one is misleading.Caps and floors
Some facts should not be averaged. A bankruptcy filing is not a modest deduction to be offset by a healthy current ratio, so these rules apply after the weighted score and override it outright:Adverse events
Events that bear on financial health (bankruptcy filings, going-concern doubt, mass layoffs, auditor changes, delistings, CFO departures, down rounds, material impairments, regulatory actions, late filings) are weighted by severity and decay over time. Events awaiting human confirmation are labelled Needs review, and they count against the score until someone confirms or dismisses them. Dismissed events stay on the record for audit but stop affecting the number.What the card shows
- A one-to-two line summary covering what the score was built on, the stability class, and how much runway the company has
- Score, risk band, and confidence tier, with 3-month and 12-month movement
- Pillar breakdown, each with the weight it carried and the inputs behind it
- Financial vitals: revenue and growth, operating margin, current ratio, debt/EBITDA, interest coverage, free cash flow margin, estimated runway, total raised, headcount, last funding round
- Registered entity standing: status, jurisdiction, and filing compliance
- Peer context: the cohort the vendor was ranked inside and its percentile within it, with any fallback disclosed
- Score history, plotted as discrete restatements rather than a smooth line, because each point is a separate computation
- Adverse events with date, review status, and a link to the source that reported each one
- Caps and floors applied, with the reason
- Sources, each with the date its data was true, plus the sources that were asked for and unavailable
Why this score?
Open the rationale on any pillar and the card shows the inputs that produced it, each with the measured value, what it scored, and how heavily it counted. Inputs are ordered by how much they cost the pillar, so the reason for a low score is at the top. A capital position of 50 might resolve to a current ratio of 1.8x scoring 62 at half the weight, and a registration status Coverbase could not determine. That second one matters more than it looks: an undeterminable input is labelled as such rather than shown as a bare number, because “50” reads as measured mediocrity when it actually means nobody knows. Two things travel with every input:- Whether it was peer-ranked. An input scored against the vendor’s own cohort is a much stronger claim than one scored against an absolute curve.
- The date the value was true. Filed figures lag. An input from a filing two quarters old carries its own as-of date, not the date of the refresh.
Submitting a vendor’s own financial statements
Most vendors are private companies, so most score Tier C however sound they are: there is nothing filed to read. If you already hold that vendor’s financials — and in a diligence relationship you usually do — you can give them to Coverbase and the score is rebuilt on them.Open the vendor's Financial health tab
Drop the documents in
Generate
Exporting the analytics workbook
Once an analysis exists, Export analytics workbook in the tab’s overflow menu downloads the full credit spreadsheet: the memo and review summaries, every metric beside the two figures it was computed from, the raw line items with the page each was read from, and the reference sheets that define what Low, Medium and High mean. It is offered only where an analysis exists — the workbook is a rendering of one, and there is no such thing as an empty one. Nothing in it is inferred: the credit agency and reputational rows say Not established rather than deriving an agency rating from a statement set.Changing what the analysis reads
Both the upload dialog and the Documents used in this analysis list on the tab let you take a document out of consideration. The file stays on the vendor’s Documents tab — excluding it from a financial analysis is not a reason to delete it. Removing or adding a document does not blank the figures already on screen. They are still true of the documents they were computed from, so Coverbase keeps them and marks the analysis stale: the tab says the document set has changed and offers Regenerate. Nothing is recomputed, and nothing is charged, until you ask for it.What you get back
The classification and audit opinion, the periods covered, the issuing legal entity and its auditor, and the full metric battery per fiscal year with the change between years:- Balance sheet — working capital, current ratio, quick ratio, cash ratio, total funded debt, debt to equity, debt to capitalization, net worth, asset turnover, return on assets, equity multiplier, return on equity
- Income statement — revenue, EBIT, EBITDA, degree of financial leverage, debt to EBITDA, gross and operating margins, net income, net income margin, earnings per share, inventory turnover, AR turnover
- Cash flow — free cash flow, change in cash
How the figures are produced
The model reads the statements and reports line items — figures that appear on a balance sheet, an income statement or a cash flow statement, each with the page it came from. Every ratio, every year-over-year change and every risk rating is then computed by Coverbase, not by the model. A credit memo’s arithmetic has to be reproducible from its inputs, and a model asked to divide two numbers is occasionally wrong and always sounds certain. A figure the statements do not report comes back as not reported, never as zero. A zero is a measured result and reads as one.Where it appears
Vendor Intelligence
Assessments
Intake and inherent risk
API and MCP
financials.financial_health, and conversationally through MCP: “what’s the financial health score for Acme?”Coverage and limits
Coverage is honest about its edges, and these are the ones worth knowing before you build a process on the score.- SEC EDGAR covers roughly 7,000 US filers, often 15-25% of a typical vendor portfolio, on a quarterly cadence with a 40-90 day filing lag. Many private vendors will sit at Tier C, and that is the system working as designed rather than failing.
- Tier B and C scores are inferred. They rank vendors sensibly against each other. They do not carry statement-level precision, and the confidence tier is how you tell.
- Runway is a bound, not a measurement. The priors behind it are reasoned from what is typical of software companies, not fitted to observed outcomes. Use it to rank and to prompt a question, never as a figure to quote back to the vendor.
- A stability floor can mask weakness. An incumbent whose fundamentals are deteriorating, but which has triggered no hard rule, will not read worse than its class floor. That is a deliberate trade against the opposite failure, and it is why the class and any adjustment are published beside the score rather than applied silently.
- The score is a ranking, not yet a probability. The current weights are heuristic, chosen to order vendors sensibly rather than fitted against observed failures. Treat the score as “who needs attention first”, not as an estimated probability of default. Calibration against a failure label set is the next step, and until it lands, no probability language belongs on a slide.
- Headcount and funding data lag and skew toward venture-backed technology companies. A bootstrapped logistics vendor may barely register in them.
- A scorecard built on one or two signals is capped mid-scale. Most of such a score comes from an adverse-events pillar that found nothing because nothing was watched, so it reports what it found without reading as reassurance. The cap is published beside the score.
- Trend features need history. Where a source publishes only current values, trend inputs are omitted until Coverbase has two snapshots of its own. They are never assumed flat.
- The score describes the entity that was matched. If a vendor is a subsidiary and the filings belong to the parent, the score describes the parent’s balance sheet. The Corporate Registration card shows which legal entity was bound. See Vendor Intelligence.